Lately, I’ve been questioning the validity of statistic probabilities and how “that would never happen to me”. Well, funny thing is, three days ago, I won the lottery.
Oh yes, in Singapore, we have 4D, you choose four numbers and then if you are on of the twenty three numbers announced three times a week, you win. The probability of that happening is like 0.23%. Last time I bought 4D was eons ago, because I just don’t gamble. So I just bought the number of the house I just bought… and I won! Okay, it wasn’t much, but imagine the probability of actually winning. Or ending up in a plane with the Al-Qaeda’s plan to bring it down.
Now, I don’t believe in statistic probability anymore. If its an outlier, I better start planning for it.