Haven't you heard of the Playbook?

Statistic probabilities

Lately, I’ve been questioning the validity of statistic probabilities and how “that would never happen to me”. Well, funny thing is, three days ago, I won the lottery.

Oh yes, in Singapore, we have 4D, you choose four numbers and then if you are on of the twenty three numbers announced three times a week, you win. The probability of that happening is like 0.23%. Last time I bought 4D was eons ago, because I just don’t gamble. So I just bought the number of the house I just bought… and I won! Okay, it wasn’t much, but imagine the probability of actually winning. Or ending up in a plane with the Al-Qaeda’s plan to bring it down.

Now, I don’t believe in statistic probability anymore. If its an outlier, I better start planning for it. :)

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